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Iowa's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 12+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

77¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 12+ pts★ BEST77¢
Republicans, 15+ pts68¢
Republicans, 18+ pts59¢
Republicans, 21+ pts51¢
Republicans, 24+ pts42¢
Republicans, 27+ pts33¢
Republicans, 30+ pts30¢
Republicans, 33+ pts15¢
Republicans, 36+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 12+ pts
at 77¢
Price gap
Kalshi77¢
→
OU's fair77¢
Confidence
Low

Iowa's 4th District is a safe Republican seat where the incumbent won by over thirty points in the previous election cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.