Iowa Governor margin of victory

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Iowa Governor margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Democrats, 3+ pts★ BEST38¢

Democrats, 6+ pts17¢

Democrats, 9+ pts8¢

Democrats, 12+ pts3¢

Democrats, 15+ pts1¢

Kalshi • Volume: 4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Democrats, 3+ pts

at 38¢

Price gap

Kalshi38¢

→

OU's fair37¢

−1¢ overpriced · pays 2.6×

Confidence

Low

Iowa has trended significantly Republican in recent cycles and the current political environment suggests a Democratic victory of any margin remains a difficult hurdle.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.