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Iowa Senate margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

21¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 2+ pts★ BEST21¢
Democrats, 4+ pts7¢
Democrats, 6+ pts2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 11.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 2+ pts
at 21¢
Price gap
Kalshi21¢
→
OU's fair15¢
−6¢ overpriced · pays 4.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Joni Ernst maintains a significant fundraising advantage over Democratic challengers in a state that has trended Republican in recent statewide cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.