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Iowa Senate margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

58¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts★ BEST58¢
Republicans, 4+ pts43¢
Republicans, 6+ pts34¢
Republicans, 8+ pts26¢
Republicans, 10+ pts19¢
Republicans, 12+ pts11¢
Republicans, 14+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 2+ pts
at 58¢
Price gap
Kalshi58¢
→
OU's fair79¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate

Republican candidates Ashley Hinson and Joni Ernst maintain a significant fundraising advantage over Democratic challengers in a state Trump won by double digits in 2024.

Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.