OVER / UNDER
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Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 30+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

88¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 30+ pts★ BEST88¢
Democrats, 33+ pts78¢
Democrats, 36+ pts68¢
Democrats, 39+ pts58¢
Democrats, 42+ pts48¢
Democrats, 45+ pts37¢
Democrats, 48+ pts27¢
Democrats, 51+ pts17¢
Democrats, 54+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 30+ pts
at 88¢
Price gap
Kalshi88¢
→
OU's fair82¢
−6¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Delia Ramirez won the 2022 election by over 37 points and faces no significant opposition in a district with a very high Democratic Cook PVI rating.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.