OVER / UNDER
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Illinois's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 31+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

87¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 31+ pts★ BEST87¢
Democrats, 34+ pts77¢
Democrats, 37+ pts68¢
Democrats, 40+ pts58¢
Democrats, 43+ pts49¢
Democrats, 46+ pts39¢
Democrats, 49+ pts29¢
Democrats, 52+ pts20¢
Democrats, 55+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 31+ pts
at 87¢
Price gap
Kalshi87¢
→
OU's fair84¢
−3¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Historical margins for Mike Quigley in this D+19 district have consistently exceeded 35 points in recent election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.