OVER / UNDER
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Illinois's 8th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 6+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

83¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 3+ pts91¢
Democrats, 6+ pts★ BEST83¢
Democrats, 9+ pts75¢
Democrats, 12+ pts69¢
Democrats, 15+ pts57¢
Democrats, 18+ pts45¢
Democrats, 21+ pts33¢
Democrats, 24+ pts21¢
Democrats, 27+ pts9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 6+ pts
at 83¢
Price gap
Kalshi83¢
→
OU's fair85¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Raja Krishnamoorthi is vacating this safe Democratic seat to run for Senate and the district has historically favored Democrats by double digits.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.