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Illinois's 9th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 31+ pts★ BEST96¢
Democrats, 34+ pts85¢
Democrats, 37+ pts74¢
Democrats, 40+ pts63¢
Democrats, 43+ pts52¢
Democrats, 46+ pts41¢
Democrats, 49+ pts30¢
Democrats, 52+ pts19¢
Democrats, 55+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 31+ pts
at 96¢
Price gap
Kalshi96¢
→
OU's fair96¢
Confidence
Low

Jan Schakowsky won the district by over 40 points in 2022 and 2024 but the 2026 midterm environment may see a slight contraction in Democratic margins.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.