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Illinois's 14th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 5+ pts★ BEST91¢
Democrats, 8+ pts80¢
Democrats, 11+ pts70¢
Democrats, 14+ pts59¢
Democrats, 17+ pts49¢
Democrats, 20+ pts38¢
Democrats, 23+ pts28¢
Democrats, 26+ pts17¢
Democrats, 29+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.4K contracts • Updated 3m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 5+ pts
at 91¢
Price gap
Kalshi91¢
→
OU's fair91¢
Confidence
Low

Lauren Underwood has consistently won this district by margins exceeding five points since the 2022 redistricting made the seat more favorable for Democrats.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.