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Illinois's 15th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 21+ pts★ BEST88¢
Republicans, 24+ pts78¢
Republicans, 27+ pts68¢
Republicans, 30+ pts58¢
Republicans, 33+ pts48¢
Republicans, 36+ pts37¢
Republicans, 39+ pts27¢
Republicans, 42+ pts17¢
Republicans, 45+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 21+ pts
at 88¢
Price gap
Kalshi88¢
OU's fair88¢
Confidence
Low

Illinois 15th District is a deep red stronghold where the Republican incumbent Mary Miller won by over 40 points in the previous election cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.