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Illinois Senate margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 17+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

55¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 9+ pts82¢
Democrats, 11+ pts75¢
Democrats, 13+ pts68¢
Democrats, 15+ pts61¢
Democrats, 17+ pts★ BEST55¢
Democrats, 19+ pts48¢
Democrats, 21+ pts41¢
Democrats, 23+ pts35¢
Democrats, 25+ pts28¢
Democrats, 27+ pts21¢
Democrats, 29+ pts15¢
Kalshi • Volume: 602 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 17+ pts
at 55¢
Price gap
Kalshi55¢
→
OU's fair35¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Democrats have a significant fundraising advantage and a history of double-digit statewide victories in Illinois despite the open seat created by Senator Durbin's retirement.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.