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Indiana's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 9+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

52¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 3+ pts76¢
Democrats, 6+ pts64¢
Democrats, 9+ pts★ BEST52¢
Democrats, 12+ pts40¢
Democrats, 15+ pts33¢
Democrats, 18+ pts25¢
Democrats, 21+ pts19¢
Democrats, 24+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 9+ pts
at 52¢
Price gap
Kalshi52¢
→
OU's fair52¢
Confidence
Low

Frank Mrvan won this district by roughly five points in 2022 and twelve points in 2020 which suggests a competitive race that often falls near the nine point threshold.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.