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Indiana's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

76¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 1+ pts★ BEST76¢
Republicans, 4+ pts68¢
Republicans, 7+ pts57¢
Republicans, 10+ pts46¢
Republicans, 13+ pts37¢
Republicans, 16+ pts28¢
Republicans, 19+ pts19¢
Republicans, 22+ pts12¢
Republicans, 25+ pts4¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 1+ pts
at 76¢
Price gap
Kalshi76¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Victoria Spartz is the Republican nominee for a district that has been held by the party since 1993 and was carried by Trump by over twenty points in 2024.

Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.