OVER / UNDER
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Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 5+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

92¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 5+ pts★ BEST92¢
Democrats, 8+ pts85¢
Democrats, 11+ pts76¢
Democrats, 14+ pts63¢
Democrats, 17+ pts40¢
Democrats, 20+ pts28¢
Democrats, 23+ pts16¢
Democrats, 26+ pts9¢
Democrats, 29+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 19.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 5+ pts
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→
OU's fair85¢
−7¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Sharice Davids has consistently secured double-digit victory margins in this district and remains the strong favorite for the 2026 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.