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Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 8+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

75¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 8+ pts★ BEST75¢
Republicans, 11+ pts65¢
Republicans, 14+ pts56¢
Republicans, 17+ pts48¢
Republicans, 20+ pts39¢
Republicans, 23+ pts31¢
Republicans, 26+ pts22¢
Republicans, 29+ pts14¢
Republicans, 32+ pts5¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 8+ pts
at 75¢
Price gap
Kalshi75¢
→
OU's fair75¢
Confidence
Low

Kansas's 4th District is a reliably Republican seat where the incumbent Ron Estes has consistently won by double-digit margins in recent election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.