Kansas Senate margin of victory
Price history — Republicans, 3+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
61¢
51¢
42¢
33¢
24¢
20¢
16¢
12¢
10¢
9¢
6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 3+ pts
at 61¢
Price gap
Kalshi61¢
→OU's fair81¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Roger Marshall maintains a massive fundraising advantage over a fragmented Democratic field in a state that has not elected a Democratic Senator since 1932.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.