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Kentucky's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 52+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

10¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 28+ pts89¢
Republicans, 31+ pts80¢
Republicans, 34+ pts70¢
Republicans, 37+ pts60¢
Republicans, 40+ pts50¢
Republicans, 43+ pts40¢
Republicans, 46+ pts30¢
Republicans, 49+ pts20¢
Republicans, 52+ pts★ BEST10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 594 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 52+ pts
at 10¢
Price gap
Kalshi10¢
→
OU's fair10¢
Confidence
Low

A 52 point margin is extremely rare in congressional elections even in safe districts and James Comer won by a smaller 42 point margin in the 2024 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.