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Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 24+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

90¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 24+ pts★ BEST90¢
Republicans, 27+ pts80¢
Republicans, 30+ pts70¢
Republicans, 33+ pts60¢
Republicans, 36+ pts49¢
Republicans, 39+ pts39¢
Republicans, 42+ pts29¢
Republicans, 45+ pts19¢
Republicans, 48+ pts14¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 24+ pts
at 90¢
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→
OU's fair90¢
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Brett Guthrie historically wins this deep red district by margins exceeding thirty points and faced no significant opposition in the recent primary.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.