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Kentucky's 3rd District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 17+ pts★ BEST95¢
Democrats, 20+ pts84¢
Democrats, 23+ pts73¢
Democrats, 26+ pts62¢
Democrats, 29+ pts51¢
Democrats, 32+ pts40¢
Democrats, 35+ pts29¢
Democrats, 38+ pts18¢
Democrats, 41+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 17+ pts
at 95¢
Price gap
Kalshi95¢
→
OU's fair95¢
Confidence
Low

Kentucky's 3rd District is a Democratic stronghold where Morgan McGarvey won by over 24 points in 2022 and 20 points in 2024.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.