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Kentucky's 4th District Primary margin of victory

Price history — Thomas Massie, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Thomas Massie, 8+ pts0¢
Thomas Massie, 2+ pts★ BEST0¢
Thomas Massie, 4+ pts0¢
Thomas Massie, 6+ pts0¢
Thomas Massie, 10+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 115.2K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Thomas Massie, 2+ pts
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair1¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1000×
Confidence
Moderate

PBS News and other outlets report that Thomas Massie lost his Republican primary election on May 19 2026.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.