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Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 42+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

92¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 42+ pts★ BEST92¢
Republicans, 45+ pts81¢
Republicans, 48+ pts71¢
Republicans, 51+ pts61¢
Republicans, 54+ pts51¢
Republicans, 57+ pts40¢
Republicans, 60+ pts30¢
Republicans, 63+ pts23¢
Republicans, 66+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 42+ pts
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→
OU's fair72¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Hal Rogers consistently wins this deep red district by margins exceeding forty points and faced no significant primary opposition in the current cycle.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.