Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 4.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 90¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→OU's fair90¢
Confidence
Low
Kentucky's 6th District is a Republican stronghold where Donald Trump won by fifteen points and the Cook Political Report considers a Democratic victory a significant stretch.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.