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Kentucky Senate margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 12+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

77¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 12+ pts★ BEST77¢
Republicans, 14+ pts68¢
Republicans, 16+ pts60¢
Republicans, 18+ pts49¢
Republicans, 20+ pts42¢
Republicans, 22+ pts35¢
Republicans, 24+ pts29¢
Republicans, 26+ pts22¢
Republicans, 28+ pts16¢
Republicans, 30+ pts10¢
Republicans, 32+ pts3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 795.7 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 12+ pts
at 77¢
Price gap
Kalshi77¢
→
OU's fair75¢
−2¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Kentucky is a reliably Republican state where the GOP has won every Senate race since 1992 and maintains a significant fundraising advantage in the current 2026 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.