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Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 54+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

40¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 39+ pts94¢
Democrats, 42+ pts83¢
Democrats, 45+ pts72¢
Democrats, 48+ pts61¢
Democrats, 51+ pts50¢
Democrats, 54+ pts★ BEST40¢
Democrats, 57+ pts29¢
Democrats, 60+ pts18¢
Democrats, 63+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 54+ pts
at 40¢
Price gap
Kalshi40¢
→
OU's fair39¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Low

Katherine Clark won the district by over 60 points in 2022 and 2024 but midterm turnout and national environment shifts often compress these margins.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.