OVER / UNDER
KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Massachusetts's 9th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 32+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

8¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 8+ pts94¢
Democrats, 11+ pts83¢
Democrats, 14+ pts72¢
Democrats, 17+ pts61¢
Democrats, 20+ pts50¢
Democrats, 23+ pts40¢
Democrats, 26+ pts29¢
Democrats, 29+ pts18¢
Democrats, 32+ pts★ BEST8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 731 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 32+ pts
at 8¢
Price gap
Kalshi8¢
→
OU's fair25¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate

Bill Keating won the district by 32 points in 2022 and 20 points in 2024 but a 32 point margin remains a high historical bar for this specific district.

Wide edge+17¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.