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Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 23+ pts81¢
Democrats, 25+ pts77¢
Democrats, 27+ pts74¢
Democrats, 29+ pts70¢
Democrats, 31+ pts★ BEST67¢
Democrats, 33+ pts62¢
Democrats, 35+ pts52¢
Democrats, 37+ pts41¢
Democrats, 39+ pts30¢
Democrats, 41+ pts20¢
Democrats, 43+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 31+ pts
at 67¢
Price gap
Kalshi67¢
→
OU's fair47¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate

Senator Markey maintains a massive fundraising advantage over Republican challenger John Deaton in a state where Democrats historically win by wide margins.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.