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Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

68¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts★ BEST68¢
Republicans, 5+ pts59¢
Republicans, 8+ pts50¢
Republicans, 11+ pts38¢
Republicans, 14+ pts25¢
Republicans, 17+ pts13¢
Republicans, 20+ pts9¢
Republicans, 23+ pts4¢
Republicans, 26+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 8.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 2+ pts
at 68¢
Price gap
Kalshi68¢
→
OU's fair68¢
Confidence
Low

Maryland's 1st District is a reliably Republican stronghold that consistently produces double-digit margins of victory for the GOP incumbent.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.