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Maryland's 4th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 64+ pts★ BEST93¢
Democrats, 67+ pts83¢
Democrats, 70+ pts72¢
Democrats, 73+ pts61¢
Democrats, 76+ pts50¢
Democrats, 79+ pts40¢
Democrats, 82+ pts29¢
Democrats, 85+ pts18¢
Democrats, 88+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 64+ pts
at 93¢
Price gap
Kalshi93¢
→
OU's fair93¢
Confidence
Low

Maryland's 4th District is a safe Democratic stronghold where Glenn Ivey won by over 80 points in 2022 and 2024.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.