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Maryland's 5th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 27+ pts★ BEST92¢
Democrats, 30+ pts82¢
Democrats, 33+ pts71¢
Democrats, 36+ pts60¢
Democrats, 39+ pts50¢
Democrats, 42+ pts39¢
Democrats, 45+ pts28¢
Democrats, 48+ pts18¢
Democrats, 51+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 27+ pts
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Low

Maryland's 5th District is a safe Democratic seat where the incumbent or successor typically wins by substantial margins exceeding twenty-five points.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.