Maine's 1st District margin of victory

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Maine's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 35+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Democrats, 17+ pts91¢

Democrats, 20+ pts79¢

Democrats, 23+ pts68¢

Democrats, 26+ pts56¢

Democrats, 29+ pts45¢

Democrats, 32+ pts33¢

Democrats, 35+ pts★ BEST22¢

Democrats, 38+ pts13¢

Democrats, 41+ pts5¢

Kalshi • Volume: 1.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Democrats, 35+ pts

at 22¢

Price gap

Kalshi22¢

→

OU's fair28¢

+6¢ underpriced · pays 4.5×

Confidence

Low

Historical election margins in Maine's 1st District typically fall well below the thirty-five point threshold despite the seat being a safe Democratic stronghold.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.