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Maine's 2nd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

38¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 3+ pts★ BEST38¢
Democrats, 6+ pts27¢
Democrats, 9+ pts17¢
Democrats, 12+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 3+ pts
at 38¢
Price gap
Kalshi38¢
→
OU's fair35¢
−3¢ overpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Jared Golden is retiring from a rural district that Cook Political Report notes has a Republican electoral advantage and was won by Donald Trump twice.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.