Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1.1K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→OU's fair45¢
+36¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Low
Maine is a competitive state with a history of split-ticket voting and ranked-choice elections that often result in narrow margins for gubernatorial candidates.
Wide edge+36¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.