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Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

56¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts★ BEST56¢
Republicans, 5+ pts38¢
Republicans, 8+ pts16¢
Republicans, 11+ pts10¢
Republicans, 14+ pts6¢
Republicans, 17+ pts1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 6.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 2+ pts
at 56¢
Price gap
Kalshi56¢
→
OU's fair65¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling from May 2026 shows the Republican candidate maintaining a lead of six percentage points in the district.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.