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Michigan's 5th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 13+ pts★ BEST87¢
Republicans, 16+ pts77¢
Republicans, 19+ pts67¢
Republicans, 22+ pts57¢
Republicans, 25+ pts46¢
Republicans, 28+ pts36¢
Republicans, 31+ pts26¢
Republicans, 34+ pts16¢
Republicans, 37+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 13+ pts
at 87¢
Price gap
Kalshi87¢
→
OU's fair87¢
Confidence
Low

The district is a Republican stronghold and current modeling suggests a high probability of a double-digit victory margin in the upcoming election.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.