Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 5.6K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 29×
Price gap
Kalshi4¢
→OU's fair45¢
+41¢ underpriced · pays 29×
Confidence
Low
Michigan's 8th District is a highly competitive swing seat with a history of narrow margins that make a one point Republican victory uncertain in the 2026 cycle.
Wide edge+41¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.