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Michigan's 10th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 2+ pts★ BEST68¢
Democrats, 5+ pts50¢
Democrats, 8+ pts37¢
Democrats, 11+ pts23¢
Democrats, 14+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 2+ pts
at 68¢
Price gap
Kalshi68¢
→
OU's fair68¢
Confidence
Low

The district remains highly competitive after a very narrow Republican victory in 2024 and historical data suggests a tossup environment for the 2026 midterm cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.