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Michigan's 10th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

33¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 1+ pts★ BEST33¢
Republicans, 4+ pts29¢
Republicans, 7+ pts19¢
Republicans, 10+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.4K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 1+ pts
at 33¢
Price gap
Kalshi33¢
→
OU's fair34¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 3.0×
Confidence
Low

Incumbent John James won this district in 2022 and 2024 but the narrow margins and recent Democratic special election overperformances suggest a competitive 2026 race.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.