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Michigan Senate margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 5+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

44¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts68¢
Democrats, 3+ pts55¢
Democrats, 5+ pts★ BEST44¢
Democrats, 7+ pts32¢
Democrats, 9+ pts20¢
Democrats, 11+ pts16¢
Democrats, 13+ pts9¢
Democrats, 15+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 5+ pts
at 44¢
Price gap
Kalshi44¢
→
OU's fair45¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling shows a highly competitive race with the Republican candidate leading within the margin of error in an open seat previously held by a Democrat.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.