Michigan Senate margin of victory
Price history — Republicans, 3+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
19¢
15¢
12¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 3+ pts
at 15¢
Price gap
Kalshi15¢
→OU's fair25¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Michigan remains a competitive swing state where Democrats have recently overperformed in state-level elections and maintain a significant fundraising advantage for the 2026 cycle.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.