Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory
Price history — Republicans, 1+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
59¢
50¢
41¢
32¢
23¢
14¢
5¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 1+ pts
at 59¢
Price gap
Kalshi59¢
→OU's fair79¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Brad Finstad holds a significant advantage in a district with a R+6 Cook PVI and a history of winning by double digits in the previous cycle.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.