Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory
Price history — Democrats, 1+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
96¢
81¢
73¢
11¢
6¢
3¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 21.7K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 96¢
Price gap
Kalshi96¢
→OU's fair76¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Angie Craig has consistently won this competitive district and special election data shows Democrats are currently overperforming their 2024 presidential baseline.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.