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Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

96¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts★ BEST96¢
Democrats, 4+ pts81¢
Democrats, 7+ pts73¢
Democrats, 22+ pts11¢
Democrats, 25+ pts6¢
Democrats, 10+ pts3¢
Democrats, 13+ pts1¢
Democrats, 19+ pts0¢
Democrats, 16+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 21.7K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 96¢
Price gap
Kalshi96¢
OU's fair76¢
20¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Angie Craig has consistently won this competitive district and special election data shows Democrats are currently overperforming their 2024 presidential baseline.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.