Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 3.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 7.1×
Price gap
Kalshi14¢
→OU's fair15¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 7.1×
Confidence
Low
Minnesota's 8th District is a Republican-leaning seat that has trended away from Democrats in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.