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North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 5+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 14+ pts0¢
Republicans, 5+ pts★ BEST0¢
Republicans, 8+ pts0¢
Republicans, 11+ pts0¢
Republicans, 2+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 14.9K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 5+ pts
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair45¢
+45¢ underpriced
Confidence
Low

North Carolina's 1st District was redrawn in October 2025 to be more competitive for Republicans but remains a battleground seat in the 2026 midterm cycle.

Wide edge+45¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.