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North Carolina Senate margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

71¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts82¢
Democrats, 3+ pts★ BEST71¢
Democrats, 5+ pts60¢
Democrats, 7+ pts49¢
Democrats, 9+ pts42¢
Democrats, 11+ pts35¢
Democrats, 13+ pts27¢
Democrats, 15+ pts20¢
Democrats, 17+ pts10¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 3+ pts
at 71¢
Price gap
Kalshi71¢
→
OU's fair55¢
−16¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Roy Cooper holds a significant fundraising advantage and early polling lead over Michael Whatley in the race to fill the seat vacated by Thom Tillis.

Wide edge+16¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.