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Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 9+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

49¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 3+ pts74¢
Republicans, 6+ pts61¢
Republicans, 9+ pts★ BEST49¢
Republicans, 12+ pts35¢
Republicans, 15+ pts22¢
Republicans, 18+ pts9¢
Republicans, 21+ pts5¢
Republicans, 24+ pts1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.7K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 9+ pts
at 49¢
Price gap
Kalshi49¢
→
OU's fair48¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 2.0×
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Mike Flood holds a safe Republican seat in a district that historically favors the GOP by double digits despite new challengers entering the race.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.