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Nebraska's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 60+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

13¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 36+ pts89¢
Republicans, 39+ pts79¢
Republicans, 42+ pts69¢
Republicans, 45+ pts59¢
Republicans, 48+ pts49¢
Republicans, 51+ pts38¢
Republicans, 54+ pts28¢
Republicans, 57+ pts18¢
Republicans, 60+ pts★ BEST13¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 60+ pts
at 13¢
Price gap
Kalshi13¢
→
OU's fair13¢
Confidence
Low

Adrian Smith won by over fifty points in 2022 and 2024 but a sixty point margin requires an exceptionally high turnout gap that historical data rarely supports.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.