OVER / UNDER
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New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

89¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3Thu 6/4Fri 6/5TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts★ BEST89¢
Democrats, 4+ pts83¢
Democrats, 7+ pts75¢
Democrats, 10+ pts61¢
Democrats, 13+ pts39¢
Democrats, 16+ pts27¢
Democrats, 19+ pts16¢
Democrats, 22+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 22K contracts • Updated 3m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→
OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low

Chris Pappas has consistently won this competitive district by several points in recent cycles and Democrats are currently overperforming their baselines in 2026 special elections.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.