Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 4.2K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 8¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Kalshi8¢
→OU's fair45¢
+37¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Low
New Hampshire's 1st District is a highly competitive swing seat that historically features narrow margins and frequent party flips.
Wide edge+37¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.