New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
Price history — Republicans, 3+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
66¢
54¢
37¢
29¢
19¢
9¢
3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 7.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 3+ pts
at 66¢
Price gap
Kalshi66¢
→OU's fair81¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
The Cook Political Report notes that Donald Trump won this district by thirteen points and classifies the seat as strongly favoring the Republican incumbent.
Wide edge+15¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.