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New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 8+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

66¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 2+ pts83¢
Democrats, 5+ pts74¢
Democrats, 8+ pts★ BEST66¢
Democrats, 11+ pts56¢
Democrats, 14+ pts46¢
Democrats, 17+ pts36¢
Democrats, 20+ pts26¢
Democrats, 23+ pts16¢
Democrats, 26+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 8+ pts
at 66¢
Price gap
Kalshi66¢
→
OU's fair86¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate

Cook Political Report classifies the seat as likely Democratic and the district has a strong historical partisan lean in favor of the incumbent party.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.